NITI Aayog Report: Unlocking a $200 Billion Opportunity in EVs

NITI Aayog launched its report “Unlocking a 200 Billion Dollar Opportunity: Electric Vehicles in India” along with the first edition of India Electric Mobility Index (IEMI 2024) in New Delhi. The report presents a roadmap for accelerated EV adoption in India by 2035, aiming at large-scale economic, environmental, and energy benefits.

Key Highlights of Report

  • $200 Billion EV Market Potential: By 2035, EV adoption could create a $200 bn opportunity, generate 10 million jobs, save ₹3.7 lakh crore in oil imports, and avoid 1 gigatonne of CO₂.
  • EV Sales Growth:
    • EV share in total sales rose from 0.5% in 20187.7% in 2024.
    • Over 6.5 million EVs on roads; 12 lakh registered in 2024 alone.
  • Charging Infrastructure:
    • Present: 25,000 chargers (Oct 2024).
    • Required by 2035: 2.9 million chargers.
  • Policy Coverage: 29 States/UTs notified EV policies; 4 in draft stage.
  • Battery Demand: Over 250+ GWh annually by 2035.
  • Carbon & Energy Benefits: Save 474 MTOE oil equivalent + cut 839 MtCO₂e emissions by 2035.

India Electric Mobility Index (IEMI 2024)

Evaluates & scores States/UTs across 16 indicators under 3 core themes:

  1. Transport Electrification Progress (EV adoption trends).
  2. Charging Infrastructure Readiness (infra development).
  3. EV Research & Innovation Status (R&D, startups).

Opportunities from EV Transition

  • Energy Resilience: Cuts crude oil imports, enhances forex stability.
  • Green Manufacturing: Boosts domestic production of batteries, EV components → Atmanirbhar Bharat.
  • Urban Mobility Reform: Push for clean, shared, public EV transport.
  • Innovation Ecosystem: Growth of R&D in battery tech, software, mobility startups.
  • Sustainable Infra: Development of smart grids, EV charging networks, energy-efficient planning.

Five Unlocks for Accelerated EV Transition

  • Stable Policy Architecture – Long-term, consistent EV policies.
  • Low-cost Financing – Green loans, credit insurance for buyers.
  • EV Ecosystem Development – Local value chains for batteries, motors, recycling.
  • Public Charging Expansion – 2.9 million chargers by 2035.
  • Incentivising Adoption – Subsidies, tax rebates, carbon credits.

Challenges Identified

  • High upfront EV cost due to batteries.
  • Financing gaps – reluctance of banks/ NBFCs, esp. for e-buses & e-trucks.
  • Patchy charging infra – concentrated in metros.
  • Weak battery recycling ecosystem.
  • Policy fragmentation across states.
  • Low awareness among consumers & MSMEs.

EV Status in India (as per Report)

  • Target: 30% of total sales → EVs by 2030.
  • Trajectory: 50,000 EVs (2016) → 2.08 million EVs (2024).
  • Global Benchmark: India’s EV penetration grew from 20% of global avg (2020)40% of global avg (2024).
  • Segment-wise:
    • Strong growth in 2-wheelers & 3-wheelers.
    • Moderate progress in e-buses.
    • Slow adoption in e-cars, negligible in long-haul e-trucks.
  • Gap: 7.6% EV sales in 2024 vs 30% target by 2030 → needs 22% jump in 5 years.

Government Initiatives for EV Promotion

  • FAME India Scheme (Phases I & II): Faster Adoption & Manufacturing of Hybrid & EVs.
  • PM E-DRIVE Scheme: Supports e-2W, e-3W, e-buses, e-trucks, e-ambulances, charging stations.
  • GST Reduction: EVs – 5% (from 12%); EV chargers – 5% (from 18%).
  • Phased Manufacturing Programme (PMP): Boosts indigenous EV production & supply chains.
  • Registration Fee Exemption: For battery-operated vehicles.

Way Forward

  • Codify Mission EV@30 under Cabinet → cross-ministry coordination.
  • Battery Localization: Secure critical minerals, boost cell manufacturing.
  • Unified Green Transport Fund: To finance infra, subsidies, retrofitting.
  • Dynamic EV Readiness Index: State-wise competition on EV adoption.
  • Just Transition: Retraining ICE workforce → EV sector jobs.

NITI Aayog

  • Formed: 2015 (replaced Planning Commission).
  • Chairperson: Prime Minister of India.
  • Current Vice-Chairperson: Suman Bery.
  • CEO: B.V.R. Subrahmanyam (2023–present).

FAME India Scheme

  • Launched in 2015 under National Electric Mobility Mission Plan (NEMMP).
  • Phase II (2019–2024): Budget ₹10,000 crore.

India’s EV Target

  • 30% of sales by 2030 (Government).
  • Net-zero by 2070 (announced at COP26, Glasgow, 2021).

Global EV Market

  • China leads in EV adoption & battery production.
  • Norway has highest EV penetration (>80% of new car sales are electric).

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