CEA’s 20th Electric Power Survey (EPS): Midterm Review

The Central Electricity Authority (CEA) released the midterm review of the 20th Electric Power Survey (EPS) at the Bharat Electricity Summit, New Delhi. The report outlines India’s long-term power capacity and demand projections (2026–27 to 2035–36) under the National Generation Adequacy Plan.

Key Highlights

IndicatorProjection (2035–36)
Total Installed Capacity1,121 GW
Non-fossil Capacity~786 GW (≈70%)
Peak Demand459 GW
Total Electricity Requirement3,365 BU
Current Status (as of Jan 2026)
IndicatorValue
Installed Capacity520.5 GW
Non-fossil Share~52%
Capacity Addition (FY 2025–26)52.5 GW
Renewable Addition~43 GW

Indicates a rapid shift towards clean energy

Capacity Mix by 2035–36
SourceCapacity (GW)Share
Solar509~45%
Coal315~28%
Wind155~14%
Large Hydro77~7%
Nuclear22~2%
Gas20
Biomass16
Small Hydro6
Key Insight
  • Solar PV becomes the backbone of India’s energy transition
  • Coal remains important for baseload reliability

Electricity Demand Projections

  • Peak demand growth (CAGR): 5.58%
  • Energy demand growth (CAGR): 6.41%

By 2035–36:

  • Peak demand: 459 GW
  • Total demand: 3,365 Billion Units (BU)

Alignment with National Targets

  • Supports India’s target: 500 GW non-fossil capacity by 2030
  • Indicates: Long-term transition towards clean energy + storage + nuclear
Energy Storage: Backbone of Future Grid

Requirement by 2035–36

TypeCapacity
Total Storage174 GW / 888 GWh
BESS80 GW / 321 GWh
Pumped Storage (PSP)94 GW / 567 GWh
Role of Storage
  • Manage variability of: Solar and wind
  • Enable: Energy shifting and  Grid stability
  • Provide: Frequency control and  Voltage regulation
Pumped Storage Plants (PSP)
  • Provide: Long-duration storage (6+ hours)
  • Store surplus renewable energy
  • Critical for: Peak demand management
Project Pipeline

Nuclear Energy

  • Under construction–  6.6 GW
  • Planned–  7 GW

Renewable Energy

  • Under construction–  155 GW
  • Under tendering–  48 GW
  • Planned (Green Energy Corridor Phase III) –   134 GW

Storage Projects

  • PSP identified: 100+ GW
    • Commissioned:  7.2 GW
    • Under construction:  13 GW
    • Planning stage:  9.5 GW
  • BESS:
    • Under construction: 10.7 GW
    • Tendered: 22 GW

Policy Support Measures

  • 100% ISTS charge waiver: For PSP & co-located BESS (till June 2028)
  • Viability Gap Funding (VGF):
    • ₹3,760 crore (2024): 13,220 MWh BESS
    • ₹5,400 crore (2025): 30 GWh storage
  • Promotion of: Co-location of storage with solar
Challenges Identified

1. Import Dependence

  • 75–80% of lithium-ion cells imported
  • Battery cost heavily dependent on imports

2. Critical Minerals

  • Dependence on: Cobalt, Lithium, Nickel, Graphite

Risks:

  • Geopolitical tensions
  • Price volatility
Alternative Scenario (Lower Demand Case)
IndicatorRevised Value
Peak Demand446 GW
Electricity Requirement3,215 BU
Capacity Required1,054 GW
Storage Requirement128 GW

Reflects uncertainty in demand growth trends

Overall Conclusion

  • India’s power sector is transitioning towards:
    • Cleaner
    • Flexible
    • Resilient system
  • Key pillars:
    • Solar dominance
    • Energy storage expansion
    • Nuclear support
    • Coal for reliability
Static Facts

Central Electricity Authority (CEA)

  • Established under: Electricity Act, 2003
  • Role: Power sector planning & policy advisory

Non-Fossil Energy Sources

  • Includes: Hydro, Solar, Wind, Nuclear

Baseload Power

  • Continuous power supply
  • Traditionally from: Coal and Nuclear

Green Energy Corridor

  • Initiative for: Renewable energy transmission infrastructure

Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)

  • Stores electricity in batteries
  • Used for: Renewable integration and Grid balancing

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